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This post is indirectly related to things Bayesian. Where do we get the TCP values? Well, what is the variance? Uncertainty and decision making. But what about other uncertainties? Take any cubic millimeter. What is the number of tumor cells? Classic radiation biology uses Poisson statistics to calculate the uncertainty in radia.
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Within the last 50 years, it has become clear that Bayesian probability theory, information theory, geometry, statistical mechanics and quantum mechanics are related at a fundamental level. It is time to solidify the connections. Please follow the links to the left to access all that this site has to offer. MaxEnt 2010 will be held in Grenoble, France in July, 2010. Will be held in Elba Italy from June 14-16, 2010.
Join us in building a global NGO to improve the lives of millions of people in need. A Call To Action For Tech. Techcrunch - Apr 25, 2017. Le Figaro - Nov 21, 2016. Le Monde - Nov 15, 2016. Police Use-Of-Force Data Is Finally Coming To Light. Techcrunch - Sep 22, 2016. New Data Tool Aims for Transparency in Police Use of Force. Wall Street Journal - Sep 22, 2016.
Probability Theory Does Not Extend Logic? David Chapman has an essay entitled Probability Theory Does Not Extend Logic. A friend asked me about it, and I wrote up my response here.
This book forms the basis for a week-long course that we teach in Amsterdam, during the summer. The first two parts of the book. WinBUGS and JAGS; Stan code is here.